Tennis Research

Tue, Jul 14, 2026

7 min

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ziga Sesko Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Daniel Merida Aguilar ML is the clear model pick versus Ziga Sesko at -700. The model assigns 81.4% win probability to the favorite with only a -2.0pp edge versus the 83.4% fair probability. Sharp bettors should examine whether the steep line still offers value on tennis picks today.

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6 min

Sofia Costoulas vs Tereza Valentova Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Tereza Valentova ML is the model pick at 79% confidence against Sofia Costoulas. Devigged fair odds show 80.1% probability for the favorite.

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6 min

Yannick Hanfmann vs Pedro Martinez Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Yannick Hanfmann ML is our top tennis picks today pick with 74% model confidence against Pedro Martinez. The higher-ranked German should dominate on clay in this July 14 2026 matchup.

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6 min

Moise Kouame vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Nuno Borges ML is the model pick at 74.9% confidence against Moise Kouame. The 74.8% fair probability shows slight value on the heavy favorite.

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6 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Marko Topo Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Camilo Ugo Carabelli ML stands out as the sharp play in this ATP Umag first-round matchup. The model assigns 72% confidence to the higher-ranked Argentine.

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6 min

Zdenek Kolar vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Juan Manuel Cerundolo ML is the clear play against Zdenek Kolar in Gstaad. Our model assigns it 75% confidence with a small positive edge. Kolar remains a longshot at ATP level on clay.

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6 min

Elsa Jacquemot vs Ilinca Dalina Amariei Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Elsa Jacquemot ML is the clear model pick at -600 with 79.7% confidence versus Ilinca Dalina Amariei. Fair probability stands at 81.1% for the favorite on July 14 2026.

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6 min

Lautaro Midon vs Facundo Diaz Acosta Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Facundo Diaz Acosta ML is the model pick at 74.7% confidence against Lautaro Midon. The ranking gap and surface edge create a clear lean despite the steep moneyline.

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6 min

Nao Hibino vs Clara Tauson Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Our model backs Clara Tauson ML at 75% confidence versus Nao Hibino. The -375 line sits nearly even with the 74.8% fair probability, creating a razor-thin positive edge. Data-driven tennis picks today favor the home favorite.

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6 min

Rebeka Masarova vs Carole Monnet Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Rebeka Masarova ML is the model lean at 79.5% confidence versus Carole Monnet. Fair probability stands at 81.1% with a -1.5pp edge. Full breakdown of ranking gap and surface edges for tennis picks today.

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6 min

Viktoriya Tomova vs Barbora Krejcikova Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Barbora Krejcikova ML is the model pick at 83.7% confidence against Viktoriya Tomova. Devigged fair odds show 86.4% probability for the heavy favorite.

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6 min

Alina Korneeva vs Aoi Ito Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Alina Korneeva ML is the model pick with 77.9% confidence against Aoi Ito. Fair probability sits at 78.8% and the line offers minimal negative edge at -0.9pp.

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6 min

Pablo Carreno Busta vs Matej Dodig Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Pablo Carreno Busta ML is the model pick with 70% confidence against Matej Dodig on clay in Umag. Fair odds and ranking gap favor the veteran.

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7 min

Simona Waltert vs Katarzyna Kawa Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Simona Waltert ML is the model pick at 67% confidence versus Katarzyna Kawa. The -220 odds offer a modest 2.5pp edge on the favorite in this tennis matchup.

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6 min

Elena-Gabriela Ruse vs Kaitlin Quevedo Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Model leans Elena-Gabriela Ruse ML at 71.3% confidence versus Kaitlin Quevedo. Fair probability sits at 70.1% with a modest 1.2pp edge.

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6 min

Stan Wawrinka vs Jaime Faria Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Jaime Faria ML is the model pick at -210 with 67% confidence versus Stan Wawrinka. Fair probability sits at 64.2% on clay at Gstaad. Small but clear edge exists for the Portuguese player.

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7 min

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Fabian Marozsan ML is the model pick at 71.9% confidence versus Juan Carlos Prado Angelo. The fair probability sits at 70.9% with a slight +1.0pp edge.

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7 min

Alexander Blockx vs Titouan Droguet Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Alexander Blockx ML is the model pick at 65.1% confidence versus the 61.9% fair probability, creating a modest +3.2pp edge in this July 14 2026 matchup.

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6 min

Dylan Dietrich vs Jerome Kym Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Jerome Kym ML is the model pick at 66% confidence against Dylan Dietrich. Strong ranking edge and home clay form point to value on the -190 moneyline.

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7 min

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Jan Choinski Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Model gives Jan Choinski ML 65.1% confidence against Nikoloz Basilashvili on clay in Bastad. Fair probability sits at 61.9% with a 3.2pp edge.

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7 min

Grigor Dimitrov vs Dalibor Svrcina Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Grigor Dimitrov ML is the model lean at -190 with 65.6% confidence and +3.1pp edge over the 62.6% fair probability in this clay-court matchup.

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7 min

Taro Daniel vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Analysis favors Botic van de Zandschulp ML at -180 with a 3.4pp edge driven by ranking gap and clay surface record in this Bastad matchup.

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7 min

Alexander Shevchenko vs Alexandre Muller Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Alexander Shevchenko ML is the model pick at 65.1% confidence versus Alexandre Muller on clay in Gstaad. Fair odds imply 61.9% for the favorite.

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6 min

Claire Liu vs Yulia Putintseva Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Yulia Putintseva faces Claire Liu with a 56.9% devigged probability edge. Model sees value on the moneyline at -150 for tennis picks July 14 2026.

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7 min

Ignacio Buse vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Ignacio Buse holds the edge over a declining Stefanos Tsitsipas thanks to superior recent form and a prior head-to-head win on clay, making the -165 moneyline the model lean at 60.4% confidence.

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6 min

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Tirante is favored on clay against a struggling Ofner ranked 64 spots lower. The Argentine's form and ranking create a measurable edge in this first meeting at the Nordea Open.

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7 min

Miriana Tona vs Sapfo Sakellaridi Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Sapfo Sakellaridi holds a slight edge at home against Miriana Tona, with the model projecting 58.4% win probability on a -150 moneyline that offers modest value.

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6 min

Anhelina Kalinina vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Paula Badosa holds a model-backed 60.4% edge at -165 in this 2026 matchup. We break down the devigged probabilities and value on the moneyline.

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6 min

Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Mayar Sherif is a moderate favorite at -165 with a 59.4% devigged win probability. The model projects a 60.9% chance for Sherif, creating a modest edge on the moneyline against Dalma Galfi.

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7 min

Ann Li vs Maria Timofeeva Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Ann Li enters as a moderate favorite against Maria Timofeeva in a matchup where model projections and devigged odds align on the away side.

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7 min

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Marco Cecchinato Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Burruchaga is favored on clay against veteran Cecchinato due to ranking and form edges. The +130 moneyline offers potential value on the underdog in this ATP Umag opener.

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6 min

Quentin Halys vs Federico Cina Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Quentin Halys faces young prospect Federico Cina on Gstaad clay. The veteran holds ranking and experience edges that shape the moneyline value.

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7 min

Alevtina Ibragimova vs Dominika Salkova Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Salkova is a -150 favorite with a 56.9% devigged probability against Ibragimova. The model sees a narrow 57.4% edge, making this a lean rather than a strong bet on the moneyline.

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7 min

Hugo Gaston vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Rankings gap and clay-court consistency give Altmaier the edge at Bastad despite both players showing uneven 2026 results.

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7 min

Valentin Royer vs Alex Molcan Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Molcan enters as the 58.9% favorite on home clay despite ranking lower; the model sees 60.4% probability and leans his moneyline at -165.

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7 min

Martin Krumich vs Stefano Travaglia Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Krumich holds a slight model edge on clay despite Travaglia's ranking and experience, creating a narrow value window at -125.

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6 min

Niels McDonald vs Federico Agustin Gomez Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Ranking gap and clay surface tilt favor Gomez, but the tight moneyline creates a narrow value window for bettors eyeing the Argentine.

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6 min

Tamara Zidansek vs Emiliana Arango Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Arango holds a slim 53.7% fair probability edge at -130 while the model projects 54.4%. Surface and recent form create a narrow value window on the moneyline.

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6 min

Moyuka Uchijima vs Elina Avanesyan Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Elina Avanesyan is a slim -130 favorite over Moyuka Uchijima in a tight WTA matchup. Devigged odds show just a 53.7% to 46.3% split, creating potential value on the moneyline.

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7 min

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkova Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Sasnovich holds a slight edge over Blinkova in this even matchup, with the model favoring her at 53.3% despite close moneyline odds. Surface and form trends add intrigue for bettors.

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7 min

Andrea Pellegrino vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction & Picks — July 14 2026

Even moneyline at -110 with a 51% model edge to Pellegrino on clay highlights a razor-thin matchup where surface and recent form dictate value.

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