NBA Research

Mon, May 11, 2026

6 min

Isaiah Hartenstein vs Chet Holmgren Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Isaiah Hartenstein points U17.5 a 73.5% win rate with +22.5pp edge. Sharp NBA picks today lean heavily toward the under versus Holmgren at home.

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6 min

James Harden vs Cade Cunningham Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Cade Cunningham threes made U2.5 79% confidence in this James Harden vs Cade Cunningham prediction. Strong lean on unders with 18.8pp edge.

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7 min

Deandre Ayton vs Austin Reaves Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Deandre Ayton points U17.5 stands out with 82.5% model confidence and +31.5pp edge. Austin Reaves threes U2.5 also shows strong value in this NBA props matchup.

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7 min

Rui Hachimura vs Ajay Mitchell Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Rui Hachimura threes made U2.5 a 77% confidence rating for this NBA matchup on May 11 2026. Strong value on the under with significant edge.

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7 min

Tobias Harris vs Max Strus Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Tobias Harris points O18.5 stands out with a 70.5% model edge. Data shows strong recent form and mispriced lines in this NBA props matchup.

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6 min

OKC vs LAL Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Lu Dort points U9.5 at -125 a 67% win probability versus 52% fair odds for OKC vs LAL. See full OKC vs LAL prediction and NBA picks today.

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7 min

Donovan Mitchell vs James Harden Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Jaylon Tyson rebounds O2.5 66% confidence versus the 57.5% fair line in Donovan Mitchell vs James Harden. Strong +8.6pp edge supports the over at -160.

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6 min

Evan Mobley vs Jalen Duren Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model highlights Jalen Duren Points+Assists U15.5 at 66% confidence for Evan Mobley vs Jalen Duren on May 11. Strong edge on under with recent cold streak.

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7 min

Evan Mobley vs Ausan Thompson Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Ausar Thompson rebounds O6.5 (+140) stands out with 69.4% model confidence and +22.7pp edge. Data-driven breakdown of all props for the May 11 matchup.

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7 min

Marcus Smart vs Ajay Mitchell Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Marcus Smart Points+Assists O15.5 stands out with 66% model confidence and +18pp edge. Data-driven breakdown of Ajay Mitchell vs Marcus Smart matchup on May 11 2026.

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7 min

Lakers vs Thunder Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Analysis favors Alex Caruso points O4.5 at -155 with 62.3% model confidence and +5.1pp edge driven by usage and defensive mismatches.

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8 min

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs LeBron James Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Analysis favors Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points+Rebounds U33.5 at -125 with a 12.7pp edge. Model shows 64.8% confidence versus a 52% fair price in this LeBron home matchup.

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6 min

Luke Kennard vs Marcus Smart Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Luke Kennard 1st Quarter Points O0.25 an 80% confidence rating in this Marcus Smart vs Luke Kennard matchup on May 11. Strong edges on Kennard's scoring props.

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7 min

Jarrett Allen vs Jalen Duren Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Jarrett Allen vs Jalen Duren prediction highlights strong value on Jarrett Allen 1st Quarter Points O3.5 at +100. The model assigns this prop an 80% win probability with a 33pp edge over fair odds.

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7 min

Donovan Mitchell vs Duncan Robinson Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model gives Duncan Robinson 1st Quarter Points O3.5 an 80% confidence rating in this NBA matchup on May 11 2026. Strong edge identified for the over.

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7 min

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction flags Cade Cunningham assists O2.5 at 84% model confidence with strong value. NBA picks today lean overs on assists props amid home/away dynamics.

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7 min

DET vs CLE Prediction & Picks — May 11 2026

Model flags Dean Wade 1st Quarter Rebounds O1.5 at +165 with 65.7% confidence for DET vs CLE on May 11 2026. Strong edge in rebounding props stands out.

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