WNBA Picks — August 05, 2026

Today's WNBA picks board features four games on August 05, 2026. You see a clear top-end conviction on the New York Liberty side while the other three contests offer more moderate model edges. WNBA picks today lean toward favorites in three of the four matchups, with the Liberty play standing out as the highest-confidence selection on the slate. The board shows one five-star lean, one four-star lean, and two lower-conviction two-star plays, giving you a mixed but data-supported set of options to evaluate.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty — New York Liberty ML

Take New York Liberty ML at -450. The model assigns this outcome a 79% probability, the highest figure on the board and the only five-star rating. Liberty's efficiency edge and home environment create the clearest separation among today's matchups, producing the strongest statistical backing for the heavy favorite.

Phoenix Mercury vs Atlanta Dream — Atlanta Dream ML

Take Atlanta Dream ML at -225. The model projects a 68% win rate for Atlanta, earning the four-star designation. This represents the second-strongest edge of the day and aligns with Atlanta's ability to control games against Phoenix's current form.

Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics — Dallas Wings ML

Take Dallas Wings ML at -140. The model gives Dallas a 56% probability here, reflected in the two-star rating. The lean is modest and market-derived, offering limited conviction relative to the top two selections.

Los Angeles Sparks vs Chicago Sky — Chicago Sky ML

Take Chicago Sky ML at -135. The model edges Chicago at 55%, resulting in the second two-star play of the day. This narrow projection mirrors the tightest matchup on the board with minimal separation between the sides.

Overall board confidence sits at moderate levels outside the top selection. Model edges provide directional guidance only and never guarantee results, so size bets responsibly according to your own bankroll limits and risk tolerance.