WNBA Picks — August 01, 2026

Today's WNBA picks board features two games on August 01, 2026. Both lean toward the unders, giving you a focused totals-driven slate for WNBA picks today. The New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury under carries the higher model confidence, while the Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky under adds a secondary angle. No spread bets appear in the verified data, so the board stays compact around total projections. You should approach these with the understanding that model percentages reflect directional edges rather than high-conviction locks.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury — Under 175.5

The pick is Under 175.5. This total receives the board's strongest model edge at 50 percent confidence. The market prices New York Liberty as -140 favorites, yet the projection still favors the lower-scoring outcome. With no additional rest or injury data altering the setup, the model edge on the under stands as the primary driver for this selection. Bettors targeting totals can use this as the cleaner of the two leans.

Las Vegas Aces vs Chicago Sky — Under 184.5

The pick is Under 184.5 at 41 percent model confidence. Las Vegas enters as a heavy -275 favorite, but the projection still sides with the reduced total. This lower-confidence lean serves as a supporting play rather than a primary focus. The data provides no further splits or absence flags, leaving the model output as the sole stated reason for the under.

Overall board confidence remains measured given the modest model percentages. These edges represent statistical leans only and do not guarantee results. Manage your bankroll responsibly and size wagers according to your own risk tolerance rather than treating any single projection as certain.