Soccer Picks — November 14, 2026

You're reviewing 18 matches for Soccer picks November 14, 2026. The board leans heavily toward favorites in the early slate, with five-star model edges on Norway, Angola, and Algeria. Later windows shift toward totals where data supports over or under angles. Draw relevance stays low in most moneyline-heavy fixtures, though a few lower-confidence games open the door for both-teams-to-score considerations. Focus on the highest-confidence selections first and size bets accordingly across the full card.

Wales vs Norway — Norway ML

Norway ML at -475 is the pick. The 92% model confidence highlights Norway’s superior squad depth and recent results against similar opposition, creating a clear mismatch with Wales. The heavy price reflects market alignment with the data edge, limiting value on the draw in this matchup.

South Sudan vs Angola — Angola ML

Angola ML at -1000 is the selection. The 92% model rating points to Angola’s dominant attacking metrics and defensive organization against weaker sides like South Sudan. The price compresses but still aligns with the projected outcome probability.

Togo vs Algeria — Algeria ML

Algeria ML at -525 is the pick. Algeria’s 89% model confidence stems from consistent results in away fixtures against mid-tier African sides, giving them a clear statistical advantage over Togo.

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden — Sweden ML

Sweden ML at -210 is the lean. The 75% model confidence reflects Sweden’s better underlying numbers in possession and chance creation against Bosnia. The draw remains a secondary option but carries less weight here.

USA vs Haiti — USA ML

USA ML at -325 is the pick. The 72% model edge comes from the USA’s home strength and Haiti’s limited scoring output in recent matches. Both-teams-to-score trends stay suppressed in this fixture.

Kyrgyzstan vs Chinese Taipei — Kyrgyzstan ML

Kyrgyzstan ML at -475 is the selection. The 68% model confidence centers on Kyrgyzstan’s home advantage and superior goal differential against lower-ranked sides.

Botswana vs Uganda — Uganda ML

Uganda ML at -185 is the pick. The 67% model rating is driven by Uganda’s stronger recent form and better attacking efficiency on the road.

Denmark vs Portugal — Portugal ML

Portugal ML at -225 is the lean. The 65% model confidence highlights Portugal’s quality edge despite Denmark’s organized defense. The draw holds some relevance but sits below the favorite projection.

Vasco vs Chapecoense SC — Vasco ML

Vasco ML at -220 is the pick. The 65% model edge reflects Vasco’s home dominance and Chapecoense’s struggles to score consistently away.

Ireland vs Austria — Austria ML

Austria ML at -185 is the selection. The 63% model confidence is supported by Austria’s better chance-creation metrics against Ireland’s compact style.

Mexico vs Jamaica — Mexico ML

Mexico ML at -185 is the pick. The 61% model rating points to Mexico’s home control and Jamaica’s limited ability to break down organized defenses.

Ukraine vs Northern Ireland — Under 2.5

Under 2.5 goals at the available price is the lean. The 57% model confidence arises from both sides’ cautious approaches and low expected goal totals in recent meetings.

Hungary vs Georgia — Over 1.5

Over 1.5 goals is the selection. The 56% model edge reflects Hungary and Georgia’s tendencies to produce at least two goals combined in similar fixtures.

Brazil vs Japan — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 goals is the lean. The 56% model confidence stems from Brazil’s high-scoring home games and Japan’s open style when facing top opposition.

Poland vs Romania — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 goals is the pick. The 55% model rating is based on Poland and Romania’s combined history of producing multiple goals in recent encounters.

Atletico-MG vs Mirassol — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 goals is the lean. The 51% model confidence comes from both clubs’ attacking outputs and defensive vulnerabilities in league play.

Israel vs Kosovo — Under 2.5

Under 2.5 goals is the selection. The 51% model edge points to low expected goals from two sides that prioritize structure over open play.

Monterrey vs Queretaro — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 goals is the pick. The 51% model confidence reflects the league average for goals in similar home matches involving these clubs.

The board carries varying confidence levels across the 18 matches, with the strongest edges concentrated on the five-star selections. Manage your bankroll conservatively and treat model percentages as directional guidance rather than guarantees. Results remain uncertain regardless of statistical support.