Soccer Picks — November 13, 2026

You have a full slate of 30 matches to work through for Soccer picks November 13, 2026. The board shows a clear lean toward heavy favorites, with five selections carrying five-star conviction and model confidence at or above 84 percent. Most picks come from international fixtures where the market has already priced in large gaps in quality. You will also find two totals plays and a handful of lower-confidence selections that still offer value at shorter prices. Focus on the top-rated matches first and size bets accordingly.

Costa Rica vs Ecuador — Ecuador ML

In CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying, Ecuador at -375 is the pick. The visitors hold an 89 percent model rating and have dominated recent head-to-head meetings. Costa Rica’s +1000 price reflects a side struggling to create chances at this level. The market correctly identifies Ecuador as the far superior side, making the moneyline the clearest route on this fixture.

Germany vs Serbia — Germany ML

Germany at -350 earns the five-star nod in this UEFA Nations League clash. The model sits at 89 percent confidence, driven by Germany’s superior squad depth and home record. Serbia’s +850 line offers little value against a side that rarely drops points in these fixtures.

Faroe Islands vs Slovakia — Slovakia ML

Slovakia at -325 is the selection for this UEFA Euro qualifier. An 86 percent model rating highlights Slovakia’s consistent results against lower-ranked sides. Faroe Islands at +900 remain an underdog with limited attacking output on the road.

Liberia vs Cape Verde — Cape Verde ML

Cape Verde at -475 carries an 84 percent model edge in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. The visitors have shown strong organization and finishing against similar opposition, leaving Liberia at +1100 with minimal realistic chance.

Niger vs Morocco — Morocco ML

Morocco at -3000 is the heavy favorite in this Africa Cup qualifier. The model confidence of 80 percent reflects Morocco’s vast technical and physical advantage. Niger’s +2500 price is a long shot with little supporting data.

North Macedonia vs Scotland — Scotland ML

Scotland at -550 is the pick in UEFA Nations League play. An 80 percent model rating points to Scotland’s better recent form and set-piece strength. North Macedonia at +1500 lacks the quality to trouble the visitors consistently.

Paraguay vs Singapore — Paraguay ML

Paraguay at -1100 earns a five-star rating in this international friendly. The 79 percent model edge stems from Paraguay’s superior depth and experience. Singapore at +2000 faces a steep climb against a much stronger CONMEBOL side.

Rwanda vs Mali — Mali ML

Mali at -375 is the selection for this Africa Cup qualifier. The model sits at 78 percent, supported by Mali’s proven results against East African opponents. Rwanda at +900 has struggled to score in recent matches.

Bolivia vs Peru — Peru ML

Peru at -220 takes the nod in CONMEBOL qualifying. A 77 percent model rating reflects Peru’s better organization and away scoring record. Bolivia at +600 has shown limited success in high-altitude home games against Peru.

Malawi vs Egypt — Egypt ML

Egypt at -1100 is the clear choice in Africa Cup qualifying. The model confidence of 75 percent is driven by Egypt’s defensive record and attacking depth. Malawi at +1500 rarely troubles sides of this caliber.

Saint Lucia vs Bermuda — Saint Lucia ML

Saint Lucia at -450 earns the five-star pick in this CONCACAF Nations League match. The 75 percent model rating highlights Saint Lucia’s home advantage and recent scoring form. Bermuda at +750 has defensive vulnerabilities on the road.

Chile vs Colombia — Colombia ML

Colombia at -240 is the selection in CONMEBOL qualifying. The 72 percent model edge comes from Colombia’s stronger midfield control and recent results against Chile. The draw remains a secondary consideration but is not the primary angle.

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs Grenada — Saint Kitts and Nevis ML

Saint Kitts and Nevis at -155 takes the four-star pick in CONCACAF play. The model sits at 71 percent, backed by home results and slightly better squad depth. Grenada at +300 offers value but faces a tough away environment.

Kazakhstan vs Moldova — Over 1.5

Over 1.5 goals is the call in this UEFA Nations League fixture. A 70 percent model rating points to both sides’ tendency to concede in open games. The moneyline market offers little separation, making the total the sharper angle.

Greece vs Netherlands — Netherlands ML

Netherlands at -200 is the pick in UEFA Nations League action. The 70 percent model confidence reflects Netherlands’ superior quality and attacking options. Greece at +475 would need a near-perfect defensive display to stay competitive.

Tanzania vs Nigeria — Nigeria ML

Nigeria at -600 earns four stars in this Africa Cup qualifier. The model at 70 percent is supported by Nigeria’s consistent dominance against East African sides. Tanzania at +1200 faces a steep challenge.

Mauritania vs Burkina Faso — Burkina Faso ML

Burkina Faso at -195 is the selection in Africa Cup qualifying. A 70 percent model rating highlights Burkina Faso’s better recent form and set-piece threat. Mauritania at +500 remains an underdog at home.

Dominica vs Puerto Rico — Puerto Rico ML

Puerto Rico at -550 takes the four-star nod in CONCACAF Nations League. The 68 percent model edge stems from Puerto Rico’s stronger attacking output. Dominica at +900 has limited scoring threat.

Uruguay vs Argentina — Argentina ML

Argentina at -175 is the pick in this CONMEBOL qualifier. The model confidence of 68 percent reflects Argentina’s superior squad and recent results against Uruguay. The draw is possible but not the primary lean.

Congo vs Comoros — Comoros ML

Comoros at -135 earns four stars in Africa Cup qualifying. The 68 percent model rating points to Comoros’ improved organization and counter-attacking style. Congo at +400 has struggled defensively.

Celta Vigo vs Salamanca — Celta Vigo ML

Celta Vigo at -350 is the selection in this Copa del Rey tie. A 67 percent model edge reflects Celta Vigo’s higher league standing and squad quality. Salamanca at +850 faces a difficult task away from home.

Canada vs Guatemala — Canada ML

Canada at -165 takes the four-star pick in CONCACAF Nations League. The 66 percent model rating is driven by Canada’s superior depth and home record. Guatemala at +425 would need an upset performance.

Lesotho vs Gabon — Gabon ML

Gabon at -450 is the selection in Africa Cup qualifying. The model sits at 66 percent, supported by Gabon’s stronger squad and recent results. Lesotho at +900 faces a significant quality gap.

Kenya vs South Africa — South Africa ML

South Africa at -400 earns three stars in this Africa Cup qualifier. The 65 percent model confidence reflects South Africa’s better defensive structure. Kenya at +1000 has limited attacking options.

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein — Azerbaijan ML

Azerbaijan at -325 is the pick in this UEFA Nations League match. A 64 percent model rating points to Azerbaijan’s home advantage and higher ranking. Liechtenstein at +1200 offers little realistic hope.

Nicaragua vs Montserrat — Nicaragua ML

Nicaragua at -375 takes the three-star selection in CONCACAF play. The 63 percent model edge comes from Nicaragua’s stronger recent form. Montserrat at +650 remains a long shot.

Estonia vs Luxembourg — Under 2.5

Under 2.5 goals is the call in this UEFA Nations League fixture. The 62 percent model rating reflects both sides’ cautious approach and low-scoring trends. The moneyline offers limited value on either side.

Switzerland vs Slovenia — Switzerland ML

Switzerland at -155 is the selection in UEFA Nations League action. A 57 percent model rating supports Switzerland’s slight edge in quality and home form. Slovenia at +450 can stay competitive but is unlikely to win.

Burundi vs Zambia — Zambia ML

Zambia at -155 earns two stars in this Africa Cup qualifier. The 56 percent model confidence highlights Zambia’s better recent results. Burundi at +425 has shown limited threat in similar matches.

Ethiopia vs Mozambique — Mozambique ML

Mozambique at -160 is the lowest-confidence pick on the board. The 54 percent model rating reflects a narrow edge in recent form. Ethiopia at +425 can push for a result but Mozambique holds the slight quality advantage.

The board shows solid model edges on the top selections, yet variance remains across all 30 matches. Size your stakes to match the confidence levels shown and keep total exposure within your normal bankroll limits. These are data-driven leans, not guarantees of outcome.