Soccer Picks — November 07, 2026

You face 28 matches on the Soccer picks board for November 07, 2026. The overall lean favors established favorites in major European and MLS fixtures, with five-star model edges concentrated on Roma, Bayern Munich, Borussia Dortmund, and PSG. Soccer picks today show the sharpest conviction where the data lines up with heavy moneyline prices, while several totals and lower-star selections offer secondary angles when draw probability or goal volume appears suppressed. You will find the strongest edges clustered in the top half of the board.

Roma vs Sassuolo — Roma ML

Roma ML at -350 is the pick. The model assigns 87% confidence to this outcome in what projects as a Serie A mismatch. Roma’s defensive structure and road efficiency create a clear edge against Sassuolo, whose +750 price reflects limited chance of an upset. The data supports laying the price on the visitors.

Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 — Bayern Munich ML

Bayern Munich ML at -325 is the pick. The model rates this Bundesliga matchup at 86% confidence. Bayern’s attacking volume and home dominance leave Mainz with slim margins at +600, aligning with the strong lean toward the hosts.

Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg — Borussia Dortmund ML

Borussia Dortmund ML at -350 is the pick. Model confidence sits at 85% for this cup or league fixture. Dortmund’s superior squad depth and finishing metrics outweigh Elversberg’s +750 long-shot status.

PSG vs Troyes — PSG ML

PSG ML at -850 is the pick. The model gives 84% confidence in this Ligue 1 contest. PSG’s control and Troyes’ +1600 price make the heavy favorite the clearest side of the board.

Arsenal vs Hull City — Arsenal ML

Arsenal ML at -650 is the pick. Model confidence reaches 74% here. Arsenal’s Premier League form and Hull’s +1750 price support backing the visitors despite the short price.

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC — Philadelphia Union ML

Philadelphia Union ML at -240 is the pick. The model assigns 74% confidence in this MLS Eastern Conference match. Union’s home metrics justify the price over Toronto at +550.

Fulham vs Newcastle United — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 at the listed price is the pick. Model confidence is 71% for this Premier League fixture. Both sides’ attacking profiles point to a higher goal total rather than a draw outcome.

Club America vs UNAM Pumas — Under 3.5

Under 3.5 is the pick at 69% model confidence. Liga MX data shows controlled scoring trends between these sides, reducing the likelihood of four or more goals.

Toluca vs Monterrey — Toluca ML

Toluca ML at -180 is the pick. The model rates this at 67% confidence in Liga MX. Toluca’s home edge and Monterrey’s +400 price support the lean.

Real Madrid vs Valencia — Real Madrid ML

Real Madrid ML at -375 is the pick. Model confidence stands at 66% for this La Liga match. Madrid’s consistent home results justify the price against Valencia at +900.

New York City FC vs D.C. United — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick. The model gives 62% confidence in this MLS matchup. Both teams’ open styles increase the chance of three or more goals.

Bologna vs Parma — Under 2.5

Under 2.5 is the pick at 60% model confidence. Serie A trends favor a low-scoring result between these sides rather than a draw or higher total.

Vancouver Whitecaps vs CF Montreal — Vancouver Whitecaps ML

Vancouver Whitecaps ML at -170 is the pick. Model confidence is 59% for this MLS game. Vancouver’s road metrics support the price over Montreal at +400.

Inter Miami CF vs Charlotte FC — Inter Miami CF ML

Inter Miami CF ML at -260 is the pick. The model assigns 58% confidence. Miami’s home attack creates an edge despite Charlotte’s +500 price.

Torino vs Lecce — Torino ML

Torino ML at -130 is the pick. Model confidence reaches 57% in this Serie A fixture. Torino’s defensive organization justifies the slight favorite status.

Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick at 57% model confidence. Premier League data points to City’s high-scoring home games against Forest.

Orlando City SC vs New England Revolution — Orlando City SC -0.5

Orlando City SC -0.5 is the pick. The model rates this MLS angle at 57% confidence. Orlando’s home form supports the spread over New England at +230.

CF Pachuca vs Club Atlas — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick at 57% model confidence. Liga MX metrics favor an open game between these clubs.

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen — Stuttgart ML

Stuttgart ML at -155 is the pick. Model confidence is 56% for this Bundesliga match. Stuttgart’s attacking output edges the price over Bremen at +325.

RB Leipzig vs Augsburg — RB Leipzig ML

RB Leipzig ML at -220 is the pick. The model gives 56% confidence. Leipzig’s home dominance supports the price against Augsburg at +450.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Paderborn — Under 3.5

Under 3.5 is the pick at 54% model confidence. The cup or league data leans toward a controlled total rather than a draw.

Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew — Chicago Fire -0.5

Chicago Fire -0.5 is the pick. Model confidence sits at 54% for this MLS matchup. Chicago’s home metrics support the spread over Columbus at +225.

Cagliari vs Frosinone — Under 3.5

Under 3.5 is the pick at 53% model confidence. Serie A trends favor fewer goals in this fixture.

Cruz Azul vs Tigres UANL — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick at 51% model confidence. Liga MX data supports an elevated goal line.

Auxerre vs Paris FC — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick at 49% model confidence. Ligue 2 metrics point to a higher-scoring outcome rather than a draw.

Malaga vs Racing Santander — Over 2.5

Over 2.5 is the pick at 46% model confidence. Segunda División trends favor goals in this matchup.

Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati — Under 3.5

Under 3.5 is the pick at 46% model confidence. MLS data supports a lower total rather than a draw.

Espanyol vs Deportivo La Coruna — Under 2.5

Under 2.5 is the pick at 41% model confidence. La Liga 2 trends lean toward fewer goals in this contest.

The board shows varying conviction levels across the 28 matches. Highest-model edges warrant the largest allocation while lower-percentage selections require smaller stakes. Always size bets to your bankroll and treat model percentages as directional guidance rather than guarantees.