ITF & Challenger Tennis Picks — July 28, 2026

Today's ITF & Challenger Tennis picks July 28, 2026 cover 30 matches spread across ITF M15/M25, W35/W50/W100, and Challenger events. The board shows a clear lean toward heavy favorites, with five-star conviction clustered on the shortest prices. ITF & Challenger Tennis picks today highlight several lopsided ranking and form edges that the model rates above 80 percent. You will see the strongest edges concentrated in the opening matches, while later selections carry slightly lower but still usable confidence. Lower-tier tennis remains high-variance, so sizing bets conservatively is essential regardless of model output.

Manas Manoj Dhamne vs Koray Kirci — Manas Manoj Dhamne ML

Back Manas Manoj Dhamne ML at -2500. The model assigns 90 percent confidence to this outcome on the ITF M25, reflecting an extreme ranking and recent-results gap that makes the heavy favorite the clear side. Five-star rating aligns with the shortest price on the board.

Lewie Lane vs Petr Nesterov — Petr Nesterov ML

Take Petr Nesterov ML at -2000. Model confidence sits at 89 percent for this ITF M15 matchup, driven by a substantial talent differential that has produced consistent results for the favorite.

Sidharth Rawat vs Max Basing — Max Basing ML

Play Max Basing ML at -700. The 84 percent model edge on this Challenger surface points to Basing’s superior recent form and ranking advantage as the decisive factor.

Shunsuke Nakagawa vs Kenta Miyoshi — Kenta Miyoshi ML

Side with Kenta Miyoshi ML at -650. Model confidence reaches 83 percent on the ITF M15, where Miyoshi’s head-to-head history and surface metrics create a strong lean.

Timeo Trufelli vs Theo Papamalamis — Theo Papamalamis ML

Choose Theo Papamalamis ML at -750. The model rates this ITF M25 selection at 83 percent, citing Papamalamis’s superior ranking and consistent performance in similar events.

Amaury Raynel vs Dorian Tremblay — Amaury Raynel ML

Bet Amaury Raynel ML at -700. An 82 percent model read on the ITF M15 favors Raynel due to the sizable ranking gap and recent win-rate differential.

Mona Barthel vs Tamila Gadamauri — Mona Barthel ML

Take Mona Barthel ML at -600. The model assigns 81 percent confidence on this ITF W50, where Barthel’s experience and surface record provide the primary edge.

Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Selena Janicijevic — Anastasiia Sobolieva ML

Back Anastasiia Sobolieva ML at -425. Model confidence stands at 78 percent for the ITF W50, supported by Sobolieva’s stronger recent results against comparable opposition.

Irina Balus vs Julia Adams — Irina Balus ML

Play Irina Balus ML at -450. The 77 percent model edge on the ITF W100 reflects Balus’s ranking advantage and steady surface performance.

Niels McDonald vs Dimitris Sakellaridis — Niels McDonald ML

Select Niels McDonald ML at -375. Model confidence hits 76 percent on the ITF M25, driven by McDonald’s superior results in this event type.

Jenny Lim vs Yasmine Mansouri — Jenny Lim ML

Bet Jenny Lim ML at -400. The model gives 76 percent confidence on the ITF W35, where Lim holds the clearer ranking and form edge.

Matyas Cerny vs Norbert Gombos — Norbert Gombos ML

Take Norbert Gombos ML at -350. An 75 percent model rating on the ITF M15 favors Gombos’s experience against the lower-ranked opponent.

Gabriel Ghetu vs George Lazarov — Gabriel Ghetu ML

Back Gabriel Ghetu ML at -425. Model confidence reaches 74 percent, reflecting Ghetu’s stronger recent surface metrics in this matchup.

Patrik Munkhammar vs Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski — Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski ML

Play Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski ML at -375. The 74 percent model edge on the ITF M25 points to the favorite’s ranking gap and win-rate consistency.

Paul Inchauspe vs Ergi Kirkin — Paul Inchauspe ML

Choose Paul Inchauspe ML at -325. Model confidence sits at 73 percent for the ITF M15, where Inchauspe’s recent form supplies the main advantage.

Samuel Rovai vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu — Pierre Antoine Tailleu ML

Side with Pierre Antoine Tailleu ML at -350. The model rates this ITF M15 at 73 percent, citing Tailleu’s superior head-to-head and surface record.

Semen Pankin vs Togan Tokac — Semen Pankin ML

Bet Semen Pankin ML at -325. An 72 percent model read on the ITF M15 favors Pankin’s ranking and recent results.

Harold Mayot vs Kilian Feldbausch — Kilian Feldbausch ML

Take Kilian Feldbausch ML at -300. The model assigns 72 percent confidence on this Challenger, where Feldbausch holds the clearer edge.

Lenny Couturier vs Maxence Bertimon — Maxence Bertimon ML

Play Maxence Bertimon ML at -350. Model confidence reaches 72 percent on the ITF M15, supported by Bertimon’s stronger surface metrics.

Lucie Petruzelova vs Nika Hurkacz — Lucie Petruzelova ML

Back Lucie Petruzelova ML at -325. The 71 percent model edge on the ITF W15 favors Petruzelova’s ranking advantage.

Johan Nikles vs Alex Barrena — Alex Barrena ML

Select Alex Barrena ML at -275. Model confidence stands at 71 percent for the ITF M25, where Barrena’s recent form provides the edge.

Gonzalo Bueno vs Pablo Martinez Gomez — Gonzalo Bueno ML

Bet Gonzalo Bueno ML at -275. The model gives 71 percent confidence on the ITF M25, driven by Bueno’s surface win rate.

Polina Berezina vs Barbara Michalková — Polina Berezina ML

Take Polina Berezina ML at -325. An 70 percent model rating on this event favors Berezina’s ranking and consistency.

Emma Lene vs Maria Lourdes Carle — Maria Lourdes Carle ML

Play Maria Lourdes Carle ML at -275. Model confidence hits 69 percent on the ITF W100, where Carle holds the form advantage.

Ole Bredschneijder vs Oskar Jansson — Oskar Jansson ML

Back Oskar Jansson ML at -275. The 68 percent model edge on the ITF M25 points to Jansson’s stronger recent results.

Karl Friberg vs Lenn Luemkemann — Karl Friberg ML

Choose Karl Friberg ML at -275. Model confidence reaches 68 percent, reflecting Friberg’s ranking edge on this surface.

Samuele Pieri vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Gilles Arnaud Bailly ML

Side with Gilles Arnaud Bailly ML at -240. The model rates this Challenger at 68 percent, citing Bailly’s surface metrics.

Vladislav Melnic vs Rares Teodor Pieleanu — Rares Teodor Pieleanu ML

Bet Rares Teodor Pieleanu ML at -250. An 67 percent model read on the ITF M25 favors Pieleanu’s ranking gap.

Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Maks Kasnikowski — Maks Kasnikowski ML

Take Maks Kasnikowski ML at -240. Model confidence sits at 67 percent on the Challenger, where Kasnikowski’s form supplies the edge.

Nikola Djosic vs Sebastian Grundtvig Jorgensen — Nikola Djosic ML

Play Nikola Djosic ML at -260. The 67 percent model edge on the ITF M15 points to Djosic’s surface record and ranking advantage.

Overall board confidence is highest on the five-star selections, yet every pick remains subject to the variance typical of ITF and Challenger tennis. Size stakes modestly and track results over a sample rather than single days; model edges improve long-term expectation but never guarantee outcomes on any individual match.