ITF & Challenger Tennis Picks — August 22, 2026
30 ITF and Challenger matches with 5-star leans on heavy favorites like Sunam Jeong and Jenny Lim.
You're reviewing the complete ITF & Challenger Tennis picks August 22, 2026. Thirty matches span ITF W15–W75, M15–M25, and one Challenger event, with the overall lean favoring short-priced favorites where model edges exceed 80 percent. Standout conviction plays center on Sunam Jeong, Jenny Lim, and Filip Jeff Planinsek, each carrying five-star ratings and model confidence above 85 percent. ITF & Challenger Tennis picks today highlight clear ranking and form gaps yet underscore the high variance typical of these levels. Focus remains on disciplined sizing rather than chasing every edge.
Meng Yi Chen vs Sunam Jeong — Sunam Jeong ML
Take Sunam Jeong at -1300. The market prices her as a heavy favorite and the model assigns 87 percent confidence, reflecting a substantial ranking and recent-form gap that makes an upset unlikely. Five-star rating aligns with the steep odds, so treat this as a high-probability but low-value bet suitable only for small stakes.
Jenny Lim vs Ana Grubor — Jenny Lim ML
Back Jenny Lim at -1100. Model confidence sits at 86 percent, driven by the large disparity in consistency and results against similar opposition. Five-star status confirms the lean, yet the short price demands strict bankroll discipline on this lower-tier ITF match.
Jonas Gundacker vs Filip Jeff Planinsek — Filip Jeff Planinsek ML
Play Filip Jeff Planinsek at -1000. The 85 percent model edge stems from superior ranking and head-to-head history implied by the line. Five-star rating supports the selection in this ITF M25 encounter.
Niklas Guttau vs Jan Simonsson — Niklas Guttau ML
Select Niklas Guttau at -700. Model confidence reaches 82 percent on the basis of recent surface results and ranking differential. Five-star rating marks this as one of the stronger leans on the board.
Charo Esquiva Banuls vs Juliana Giaccio — Charo Esquiva Banuls ML
Take Charo Esquiva Banuls at -375. The 73 percent model figure reflects a solid but not overwhelming edge tied to form and ranking. Five-star rating still endorses the play at this shorter price.
Arthur Nagel vs Jannik Maute — Arthur Nagel ML
Back Arthur Nagel at -375. Model confidence of 73 percent highlights the ranking advantage and recent results. Five-star status supports the selection on this ITF M25 match.
Pavel Lagutin vs Rodrigo Fernandes — Pavel Lagutin ML
Play Pavel Lagutin at -350. The 73 percent model edge is based on form and implied ranking gap. Five-star rating justifies the lean despite moderate odds.
Ariana Geerlings Martinez vs Dalila Jakupovic — Ariana Geerlings Martinez ML
Take Ariana Geerlings Martinez at -350. Model confidence stands at 72 percent, driven by surface suitability and recent results. Four-star rating keeps the pick viable for modest sizing.
Dimitar Kisimov vs Semen Pankin — Semen Pankin ML
Select Semen Pankin at -300. The 71 percent model figure points to a clear ranking edge. Four-star status supports the play in this ITF M15 contest.
Michael Agwi vs Pawel Juszczak — Michael Agwi ML
Back Michael Agwi at -275. Model confidence of 68 percent reflects the favorite’s recent consistency. Four-star rating endorses the lean at this price.
Tim Handel vs Mika Petkovic — Mika Petkovic ML
Play Mika Petkovic at -250. The 67 percent model edge is tied to form and ranking. Four-star status keeps the selection reasonable for small stakes.
Masamichi Imamura vs Yu Hsiou Hsu — Yu Hsiou Hsu ML
Take Yu Hsiou Hsu at -250. Model confidence reaches 67 percent on ranking and recent results. Four-star rating supports the pick.
Luna Vujovic vs Lidia Encheva — Luna Vujovic ML
Select Luna Vujovic at -240. The 67 percent model figure favors the higher-ranked player. Four-star status justifies the lean on this ITF W75 match.
Iannis Miletich vs Robert Guna — Robert Guna ML
Back Robert Guna at -260. Model confidence of 67 percent reflects the expected outcome based on ranking. Four-star rating supports the selection.
Marlon Vankan vs Jack Loge — Jack Loge ML
Play Jack Loge at -230. The 66 percent model edge stems from recent form. Four-star status keeps the pick in play.
Sebastian Sorger vs Sebastian Dominko — Sebastian Sorger ML
Take Sebastian Sorger at -220. Model confidence sits at 65 percent, driven by ranking differential. Four-star rating endorses the lean.
Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Anastasija Cvetkovic — Anastasija Cvetkovic ML
Select Anastasija Cvetkovic at -230. The 65 percent model figure points to the favorite’s edge. Three-star rating signals a moderate conviction play.
Fitriadi M Rifqi vs Yunseong Chung — Yunseong Chung ML
Back Yunseong Chung at -210. Model confidence of 64 percent reflects the ranking gap. Three-star status supports measured sizing.
Tymur Bieldiugin vs Nicola Senn — Tymur Bieldiugin ML
Play Tymur Bieldiugin at -200. The 64 percent model edge favors the higher-rated player. Three-star rating keeps the selection viable.
Zoziya Kardava vs Paula Cembranos — Paula Cembranos ML
Take Paula Cembranos at -200. Model confidence reaches 63 percent on recent results. Three-star status justifies the lean.
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Valentina Steiner — Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur ML
Select Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur at -210. The 62 percent model figure supports the favorite. Three-star rating marks this as a lower-conviction play.
Lisa Zaar vs Rada Zolotareva — Rada Zolotareva ML
Back Rada Zolotareva at -190. Model confidence of 62 percent reflects the ranking advantage. Three-star status supports the pick.
Lola Giza vs Josy Daems — Lola Giza ML
Play Lola Giza at -185. The 61 percent model edge favors the shorter price. Three-star rating keeps sizing conservative.
Andrea Colombo vs Goncalo Marques — Goncalo Marques ML
Take Goncalo Marques at -180. Model confidence sits at 61 percent. Three-star status endorses the lean on this ITF M25 match.
Romain Faucon vs Martin Van Der Meerschen — Martin Van Der Meerschen ML
Select Martin Van Der Meerschen at -170. The 60 percent model figure points to the favorite. Two-star rating signals reduced conviction.
John Hallquist Lithen vs Leo Borg — John Hallquist Lithen ML
Back John Hallquist Lithen at -170. Model confidence of 60 percent supports the lean. Two-star status warrants small stakes only.
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Gonzalo Villanueva — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo ML
Play Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo at -175. The 59 percent model edge favors the slight favorite. Two-star rating keeps exposure limited.
Lisa Claeys vs Rikke de Koning — Rikke de Koning ML
Take Rikke de Koning at -160. Model confidence reaches 58 percent. Two-star status marks this as a lower-conviction selection.
Adrienn Nagy vs Jessica Pieri — Adrienn Nagy ML
Select Adrienn Nagy at -145. The 56 percent model figure supports the lean. Two-star rating advises caution.
Rinko Matsuda vs Peangtarn Plipuech — Peangtarn Plipuech ML
Back Peangtarn Plipuech at -140. Model confidence of 55 percent reflects a modest edge. Two-star status keeps the play minimal.
Overall board confidence stays moderate given the lower-tier nature of most matches. Model edges provide directional guidance but never guarantee outcomes, so maintain strict bankroll management and limit exposure on every selection. Small, consistent stakes remain the responsible approach across the thirty-match slate.
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