ITF & Challenger Tennis Picks — August 14, 2026

You have 30 lower-tier ITF and Challenger matches on the board for ITF & Challenger Tennis picks August 14, 2026. The slate shows a clear lean toward heavy favorites, with five-star conviction concentrated on the shortest prices. ITF & Challenger Tennis picks today emphasize ranking and form edges that the model quantifies at 62-91 percent. These are volatile environments, so treat every selection as a small-stake proposition rather than a high-volume bet.

Fadi Bidan vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly — Gilles Arnaud Bailly ML

Back Gilles Arnaud Bailly at -2500. The model assigns 91 percent confidence to the heavy favorite, reflecting a massive ranking and experience gap. This is the strongest lean on the board and warrants the five-star rating.

Matej Dodig vs Saba Purtseladze — Matej Dodig ML

Take Matej Dodig at -1400. The 89 percent model rating highlights Dodig’s superior recent form and head-to-head dominance in Challenger events.

Victor Ryden vs Karl Friberg — Karl Friberg ML

Play Karl Friberg at -750. An 82 percent model edge stems from Friberg’s consistent ITF M15 results on this surface.

Jesper De Jong vs Alex Michelsen — Alex Michelsen ML

Back Alex Michelsen at -525. The model posts 80 percent confidence based on Michelsen’s higher ranking and recent win rate against similar opponents.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Rafael Tosetto — Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo ML

Take Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo at -600. A 79 percent model rating points to Cardozo’s strong surface stats and clear ranking advantage.

Matthew Dellavedova vs Shinji Hazawa — Matthew Dellavedova ML

Play Matthew Dellavedova at -500. The 78 percent model confidence reflects Dellavedova’s better ITF M15 record and current form.

Amy Sucha vs Yelyzaveta Kotliar — Yelyzaveta Kotliar ML

Back Yelyzaveta Kotliar at -475. An 78 percent model edge is driven by Kotliar’s superior WTA ranking and recent results on the ITF W35 circuit.

Rares Teodor Pieleanu vs Odysseas Geladaris — Rares Teodor Pieleanu ML

Take Rares Teodor Pieleanu at -500. The model gives 77 percent confidence on the basis of Pieleanu’s stronger ITF M15 metrics.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Valentin Royer — Stefanos Tsitsipas ML

Play Stefanos Tsitsipas at -350. A 76 percent model rating underscores Tsitsipas’s clear ranking and experience edge in Challenger play.

Dusan Obradovic vs Sean Cuenin — Sean Cuenin ML

Back Sean Cuenin at -400. The 75 percent model confidence highlights Cuenin’s consistent ITF M25 form.

Gabriel Ghetu vs Iannis Miletich — Gabriel Ghetu ML

Take Gabriel Ghetu at -400. A 75 percent model edge is supported by Ghetu’s better recent results at the ITF M15 level.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Dalila Jakupovic — Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur ML

Play Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur at -375. The model posts 75 percent confidence on Steur’s surface-specific win rate.

Matilde Jorge vs Sofia Costoulas — Sofia Costoulas ML

Back Sofia Costoulas at -375. A 74 percent model rating reflects Costoulas’s ranking advantage in ITF events.

Oana Georgeta Simion vs Ida Wobker — Ida Wobker ML

Take Ida Wobker at -350. The 73 percent model confidence stems from Wobker’s stronger ITF W15 record.

Nikola Slavic vs Didrik Liljekvist — Nikola Slavic ML

Back Nikola Slavic at -325. A 71 percent model edge is based on Slavic’s recent ITF M15 results.

Vuk Radjenovic vs Stefan Horia Haita — Stefan Horia Haita ML

Play Stefan Horia Haita at -325. The model assigns 70 percent confidence to Haita’s ITF M25 form.

Marcel Zielinski vs Oliver Majdandzic — Marcel Zielinski ML

Back Marcel Zielinski at -325. A 70 percent model rating favors Zielinski’s ranking edge.

Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Matthew William Donald — Matthew William Donald ML

Take Matthew William Donald at -275. The 69 percent model confidence points to Donald’s better recent results.

Lisa Zaar vs Mia Ristic — Mia Ristic ML

Play Mia Ristic at -275. A 69 percent model edge is supported by Ristic’s ITF W75 form.

Michael Geerts vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux — Geoffrey Blancaneaux ML

Back Geoffrey Blancaneaux at -275. The model posts 69 percent confidence on Blancaneaux’s Challenger surface stats.

Jie Cui vs Aziz Dougaz — Aziz Dougaz ML

Take Aziz Dougaz at -250. A 69 percent model rating reflects Dougaz’s ITF M25 edge.

Mickael Kaouk vs Lars Goran Verwerft — Mickael Kaouk ML

Back Mickael Kaouk at -250. The 66 percent model confidence favors Kaouk’s recent ITF M25 results.

Marta Lombardini vs Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni — Marta Lombardini ML

Play Marta Lombardini at -240. A 66 percent model edge is driven by Lombardini’s ITF W15 record.

Andrin Casanova vs Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg — Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg ML

Back Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg at -230. The model assigns 65 percent confidence to Schulenburg’s form.

Maria Sara Popa vs Angelica Raggi — Maria Sara Popa ML

Take Maria Sara Popa at -220. A 65 percent model rating supports Popa’s ITF W15 metrics.

Ziga Sesko vs Marlon Vankan — Ziga Sesko ML

Play Ziga Sesko at -230. The 64 percent model confidence highlights Sesko’s recent ITF M15 results.

Alexander Vasilev vs Marat Sharipov — Marat Sharipov ML

Back Marat Sharipov at -210. A 64 percent model edge favors Sharipov’s ranking in this ITF M25 match.

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Nuno Borges — Nuno Borges ML

Take Nuno Borges at -200. The 63 percent model rating points to Borges’s surface advantage.

Andrey Chepelev vs Bor Artnak — Bor Artnak ML

Play Bor Artnak at -200. A 63 percent model confidence is based on Artnak’s ITF M25 form.

Eva Marie Desvignes vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong — Shihomi Li Xuan Leong ML

Back Shihomi Li Xuan Leong at -210. The 62 percent model edge reflects Leong’s ITF W15 results.

Model edges on this board range from 62 to 91 percent, but lower-tier tennis remains high-variance. Size bets conservatively and remember that even the strongest statistical leans do not guarantee outcomes. Manage your bankroll accordingly.